Shrinkage priors for Bayesian prediction

نویسندگان

چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Shrinkage Priors for Bayesian Prediction

We investigate shrinkage priors for constructing Bayesian predictive distributions. It is shown that there exist shrinkage predictive distributions asymptotically dominating Bayesian predictive distributions based on the Jeffreys prior or other vague priors if the model manifold satisfies some differential geometric conditions. Kullback– Leibler divergence from the true distribution to a predic...

متن کامل

Hierarchical priors for Bayesian CART shrinkage

The Bayesian CART (classiication and regression tree) approach proposed by Chipman, George and McCulloch (1998) entails putting a prior distribution on the set of all CART models and then using stochastic search to select a model. The main thrust of this paper is to propose a new class of hierarchical priors which enhance the potential of this Bayesian approach. These priors indicate a preferen...

متن کامل

Adaptive Bayesian Shrinkage Estimation Using Log-Scale Shrinkage Priors

Global-local shrinkage hierarchies are an important, recent innovation in Bayesian estimation of regression models. In this paper we propose to use log-scale distributions as a basis for generating familes of flexible prior distributions for the local shrinkage hyperparameters within such hierarchies. An important property of the log-scale priors is that by varying the scale parameter one may v...

متن کامل

Bayesian shrinkage prediction for the regression problem

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the unknown mean is fixed, the covariance of future samples can be different from training samples. We show that the Bayesian predictive distribution based on the u...

متن کامل

Bayesian trend filtering: adaptive temporal smoothing with shrinkage priors

Abstract We present a locally-adaptive nonparametric curve fitting method that we call Bayesian trend filtering. The method operates within a fully Bayesian framework and uses shrinkage priors to induce sparsity in order-k differences in the latent trend function, providing a combination of local adaptation and global control. Using a scale mixture of normals representation of shrinkage priors,...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: The Annals of Statistics

سال: 2006

ISSN: 0090-5364

DOI: 10.1214/009053606000000010